Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Wiman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt WimanL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Paul Sass · Sep 12L
KOvs Jordan Leavitt · Dec 20 Isaac Vallie-FlaggL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Yves Edwards · Feb 13L
vs Elias Silverio · Jan 14L
vs Takanori Gomi · Apr 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt WimanMetricIsaac Vallie-Flagg
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt WimanIsaac Vallie-Flagg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Wiman(10 fights)Isaac Vallie-Flagg(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +38.5|Blue -38.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +455.0|Blue -455.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt WimanTargetIsaac Vallie-Flagg
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Isaac Vallie-Flagg rounds
Round 1Isaac Vallie-Flagg edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:32
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:39Control
Round 2Isaac Vallie-Flagg edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control1:06
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:43Control
Round 3Matt Wiman edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control3:27
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
