Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Tafa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Valter Walker enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Valter Walker threatens submissions; Junior Tafa has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Junior Tafa has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior TafaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 24W
KOvs Sean Sharaf · Oct 24L
SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · Jul 25L
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 26L
KOvs Iwo Baraniewski · Jun 26 Valter WalkerW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Lukasz Brzeski · Apr 24W
SUBvs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 25W
SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 25W
SUBvs Louie Sutherland · Oct 25W
SUBvs Thomas Petersen · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior TafaMetricValter Walker
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Junior TafaValter Walker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Tafa(8 fights)Valter Walker(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -127.6|Blue +127.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Junior TafaTargetValter Walker
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Valter Walker edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:54Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
