Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trey Ogden has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Leavitt (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan Leavitt
oldest →W
KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Nov 23W
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · May 25W
vs Yadier del Valle · Feb 26L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Jun 26 Trey Ogden
oldest →W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 22L
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 23W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 24W
vs Loik Radzhabov · Jul 24L
vs Thiago Moises · Jan 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan LeavittMetricTrey Ogden
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.62evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jordan LeavittTrey Ogden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Leavitt(10 fights)Trey Ogden(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jordan LeavittTargetTrey Ogden
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jordan Leavitt edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control2:20
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Jordan Leavitt edged it
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 3Trey Ogden edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control2:57
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
