Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexis Dufresne has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alexis Dufresne has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sarah MorasL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Talita Bernardo · Oct 18L
KOvs Macy Chiasson · May 19W
KOvs Liana Jojua · Sep 19L
vs Sijara Eubanks · May 20L
vs Vanessa Melo · Jan 21 Alexis Dufresne
oldest →L
vs Marion Reneau · Jan 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sarah MorasMetricAlexis Dufresne
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.30evenly matched on net striking-2.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sarah Moras(9 fights)Alexis Dufresne(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +40.3|Blue -40.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sarah MorasTargetAlexis Dufresne
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alexis Dufresne edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:40Control
Round 2Sarah Moras edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control2:36
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:36Control
Round 3Alexis Dufresne edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:39Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
