Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Benoit enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ben Nguyen threatens submissions; Ryan Benoit has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ben Nguyen (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben NguyenL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Louis Smolka · Jul 16W
vs Geane Herrera · Nov 16W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Jun 17L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Feb 18 Ryan BenoitL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Brandon Moreno · Dec 16W
KOvs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Nov 17L
vs Heili Alateng · Dec 19L
vs Zarrukh Adashev · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben NguyenMetricRyan Benoit
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.50Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap-0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ben NguyenRyan Benoit
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Nguyen(7 fights)Ryan Benoit(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -35.8|Blue +35.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ben NguyenTargetRyan Benoit
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ben Nguyen edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control2:17
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
