Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Abus Magomedov has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Caio Borralho (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio Borralho
oldest →W
SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25W
vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26 Abus Magomedov
oldest →W
vs Warlley Alves · May 24W
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Oct 24W
vs Michel Pereira · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 25W
SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio BorralhoMetricAbus Magomedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.86Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Caio BorralhoAbus Magomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Borralho(9 fights)Abus Magomedov(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.5|Blue -4.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Caio BorralhoTargetAbus Magomedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Caio Borralho edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Caio Borralho edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control2:17
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
