Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ildemar Alcantara has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ildemar Alcantara
oldest →W
vs Leandro Silva · Jun 13W
vs Albert Tumenov · Feb 14L
vs Kenny Robertson · Jul 14W
vs Richardson Moreira · Jan 15 Igor AraujoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Danny Mitchell · Mar 14L
KOvs George Sullivan · Sep 14L
vs Sean Strickland · Jul 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ildemar AlcantaraMetricIgor Araujo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.70evenly matched on net striking-1.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ildemar AlcantaraIgor Araujo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ildemar Alcantara(7 fights)Igor Araujo(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +135.4|Blue -135.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ildemar AlcantaraTargetIgor Araujo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Ildemar Alcantara rounds
Round 1Ildemar Alcantara edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:07
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:01Control
Round 2Ildemar Alcantara edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control2:24
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:13Control
Round 3Igor Araujo edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:03Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
