Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ethyn Ewing has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ethyn Ewing has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Wellmaker (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Malcolm Wellmaker
oldest →W
KOvs Cameron Saaiman · Apr 25W
KOvs Kris Moutinho · Jun 25L
SUBvs Juan Diaz · May 26 Ethyn Ewing
oldest →W
KOvs Rafael Estevam · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Malcolm WellmakerMetricEthyn Ewing
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41Δ 2.50 — meaningful gap+2.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Malcolm WellmakerEthyn Ewing
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Malcolm Wellmaker(4 fights)Ethyn Ewing(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.6|Blue +52.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Malcolm WellmakerTargetEthyn Ewing
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Malcolm Wellmaker rounds
Round 1Malcolm Wellmaker edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:20
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 2Ethyn Ewing edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:14
41Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Ethyn Ewing edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:37
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
