Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Poirier has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25 Josh GrispiL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs George Roop · Jun 11L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin PoirierMetricJosh Grispi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.67Δ 2.94 — meaningful gap-2.27
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Poirier(10 fights)Josh Grispi(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +141.8|Blue -141.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin PoirierTargetJosh Grispi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dustin Poirier edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control2:36
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Dustin Poirier edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control3:33
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Dustin Poirier edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:39
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:27Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
