Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Easton enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Mike Easton has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Easton has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike EastonL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Ivan Menjivar · Jul 12L
vs Raphael Assuncao · Dec 12L
vs Brad Pickett · Apr 13L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Jan 14L
vs Yves Jabouin · Jun 14 Jared PapazianL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Dustin Pague · Jun 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike EastonMetricJared Papazian
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.77evenly matched on net striking-0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike EastonJared Papazian
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Easton(7 fights)Jared Papazian(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike EastonTargetJared Papazian
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Easton edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:58
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 2Mike Easton edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:57
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:06Control
Round 3Mike Easton edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:21
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
