Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael McDonaldL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Miguel Torres · Apr 12L
SUBvs Renan Barao · Feb 13W
SUBvs Brad Pickett · Aug 13L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 13L
KOvs John Lineker · Jul 16 Masanori Kanehara
oldest →W
vs Alex Caceres · Sep 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael McDonaldMetricMasanori Kanehara
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michael McDonaldMasanori Kanehara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael McDonald(9 fights)Masanori Kanehara(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +134.6|Blue -134.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +578.0|Blue -578.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michael McDonaldTargetMasanori Kanehara
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Masanori Kanehara rounds
Round 1Masanori Kanehara edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:22Control
Round 2Masanori Kanehara edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:12
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:26Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
