Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raquel Pennington has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aspen Ladd
oldest →W
KOvs Tonya Evinger · Oct 18W
vs Sijara Eubanks · May 19L
KOvs Germaine De Randamie · Jul 19W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Dec 19L
vs Norma Dumont · Oct 21 Raquel Pennington
oldest →W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Sep 21W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24L
vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aspen LaddMetricRaquel Pennington
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aspen LaddRaquel Pennington
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aspen Ladd(7 fights)Raquel Pennington(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -82.1|Blue +82.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aspen LaddTargetRaquel Pennington
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Raquel Pennington rounds
Round 1Raquel Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 2Raquel Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
49Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:51Control
Round 3Aspen Ladd edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns2
Control2:56
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
