Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Viviane Araujo has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Maycee Barber · Jan 20L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20L
vs Taila Santos · Sep 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22 Viviane Araujo
oldest →L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23W
vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23L
vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24W
vs Karine Silva · Nov 24L
vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricViviane Araujo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.35Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap-0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Roxanne ModafferiViviane Araujo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Viviane Araujo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -79.2|Blue +79.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Roxanne ModafferiTargetViviane Araujo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Roxanne Modafferi rounds
Round 1Viviane Araujo edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:17
34Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 2Viviane Araujo edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:54Control
Round 3Viviane Araujo edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:22
20Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
