Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cezar Ferreira has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cezar Ferreira (53.5%).
- Cezar Ferreira has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cezar Ferreira
oldest →W
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 16L
vs Elias Theodorou · Feb 17W
vs Nate Marquardt · Nov 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 19 Ian HeinischL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Dec 19W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jun 20L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Feb 21L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cezar FerreiraMetricIan Heinisch
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cezar FerreiraIan Heinisch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)Ian Heinisch(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -30.3|Blue +30.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cezar FerreiraTargetIan Heinisch
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control2:25
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns3
Control1:28
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Ian Heinisch edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:27
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:26Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
