Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Gonzalez threatens submissions; Drew Dober has lost 36% of fights by sub.
- Drew Dober has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jason Gonzalez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Drew DoberW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Renato Moicano · Feb 24L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jul 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyle Prepolec · Oct 25W
KOvs Michael Johnson · Mar 26 Jason GonzalezL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs JC Cottrell · Jan 17L
SUBvs Gregor Gillespie · Sep 17L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Apr 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Drew DoberMetricJason Gonzalez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.15evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Drew DoberJason Gonzalez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Drew Dober(10 fights)Jason Gonzalez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +141.4|Blue -141.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.8|Blue +47.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Drew DoberTargetJason Gonzalez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Drew Dober edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:10
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
