Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark De La Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mark De La Rosa threatens submissions; Alex Perez has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Alex Perez has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alex Perez has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex Perez
oldest →W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Nov 25W
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26 Mark De La RosaL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Elias Garcia · Jul 18W
vs Joby Sanchez · Nov 18L
vs Kai Kara-France · Aug 19L
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Feb 20L
vs Jordan Espinosa · Jun 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex PerezMetricMark De La Rosa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.21Δ 3.08 — meaningful gap-1.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex PerezMark De La Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Perez(10 fights)Mark De La Rosa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +113.4|Blue -113.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -20.0|Blue +20.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex PerezTargetMark De La Rosa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Perez edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control3:07
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alex Perez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control3:47
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alex Perez edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:19
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
