Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Makdessi has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23 Abel Trujillo
oldest →L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Dec 14W
vs Gleison Tibau · Nov 15W
SUBvs Tony Sims · Jan 16W
vs Jordan Rinaldi · May 16L
SUBvs James Vick · Feb 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MakdessiMetricAbel Trujillo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.37Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap+0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John MakdessiAbel Trujillo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Makdessi(10 fights)Abel Trujillo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +112.8|Blue -112.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John MakdessiTargetAbel Trujillo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Makdessi edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:01Control
Round 3John Makdessi edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
