Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Louis Smolka is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Alptekin Ozkilic has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Alptekin Ozkilic has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alptekin OzkilicL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Darren Uyenoyama · Dec 13L
KOvs John Lineker · Jul 14L
KOvs Ben Nguyen · May 15 Louis SmolkaL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Ryan MacDonald · Sep 19L
SUBvs Casey Kenney · May 20W
KOvs Jose Quinonez · Dec 20L
KOvs Vince Morales · Dec 21L
KOvs Davey Grant · May 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alptekin OzkilicMetricLouis Smolka
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.91Δ 2.47 — meaningful gap+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alptekin OzkilicLouis Smolka
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alptekin Ozkilic(4 fights)Louis Smolka(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -70.2|Blue +70.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alptekin OzkilicTargetLouis Smolka
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alptekin Ozkilic edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns3
Control1:54
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Alptekin Ozkilic edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns3
Control1:05
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Louis Smolka edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns3
Control0:36
54Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:34Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
