Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Michael Chiesa has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Sanchez
oldest →L
KOvs Matt Brown · Nov 17W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19W
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20L
vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20 Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego SanchezMetricMichael Chiesa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego SanchezMichael Chiesa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Sanchez(10 fights)Michael Chiesa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -36.2|Blue +36.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego SanchezTargetMichael Chiesa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Chiesa edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control1:28
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:16Control
Round 2Michael Chiesa edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:35
31Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:13Control
Round 3Michael Chiesa edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:21
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
