Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kris Moutinho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Guido Cannetti has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Guido Cannetti has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kris MoutinhoL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jul 21L
KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Jun 25L
vs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 26 Guido Cannetti
oldest →L
SUBvs Marlon Vera · Nov 18L
KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Mar 20L
vs Mana Martinez · Aug 21W
SUBvs Randy Costa · Oct 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kris MoutinhoMetricGuido Cannetti
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-6.01Δ 6.61 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kris MoutinhoGuido Cannetti
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kris Moutinho(4 fights)Guido Cannetti(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -44.0|Blue +44.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kris MoutinhoTargetGuido Cannetti
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Guido Cannetti edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
