Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Scoggins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Scoggins has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Scoggins (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ray Borg
oldest →L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17L
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20 Justin ScogginsL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs John Moraga · Sep 14W
DECvs Joshua Sampo · May 15L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 16L
SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Jun 17L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ray BorgMetricJustin Scoggins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ray BorgJustin Scoggins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ray Borg(10 fights)Justin Scoggins(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ray BorgTargetJustin Scoggins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Justin Scoggins edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:09
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:25Control
Round 2Justin Scoggins edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:24
22Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:44Control
Round 3Justin Scoggins edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:30
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
