Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikita Krylov
oldest →W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26 Ed HermanL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21L
KOvs Zak Cummings · Apr 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikita KrylovMetricEd Herman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77Δ 2.17 — meaningful gap-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nikita KrylovEd Herman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikita Krylov(10 fights)Ed Herman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.5|Blue -27.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nikita KrylovTargetEd Herman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes54
Takedowns0
Control0:55
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 2Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
