Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Riddle has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Matthew Riddle has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew RiddleW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Aug 10L
vs Sean Pierson · Dec 10W
vs Henry Martinez · Feb 12W
vs John Maguire · Nov 12 Lance Benoist
oldest →L
vs Seth Baczynski · Jun 12L
vs Sean Pierson · Sep 12W
vs Bobby Voelker · Jun 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew RiddleMetricLance Benoist
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matthew RiddleLance Benoist
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Riddle(6 fights)Lance Benoist(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.0|Blue +47.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matthew RiddleTargetLance Benoist
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lance Benoist edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control1:47
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:54Control
Round 2Lance Benoist edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns2
Control0:43
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:02Control
Round 3Matthew Riddle edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control4:28
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
