Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Rinat Fakhretdinov has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin LeeL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 19W
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Nov 19L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Mar 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 21 Rinat FakhretdinovW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Andreas Michailidis · Jun 22W
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 22W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jun 24W
KOvs Andreas Gustafsson · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin LeeMetricRinat Fakhretdinov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.28Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kevin LeeRinat Fakhretdinov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Lee(10 fights)Rinat Fakhretdinov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -74.2|Blue +74.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +476.0|Blue -476.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kevin LeeTargetRinat Fakhretdinov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Rinat Fakhretdinov rounds
Round 1Rinat Fakhretdinov edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
