Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dan Miller threatens submissions; Joe Doerksen has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Doerksen
oldest →W
SUBvs Tom Lawlor · May 10L
SUBvs CB Dollaway · Sep 10 Dan MillerL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Nate Marquardt · Mar 11L
vs Rousimar Palhares · Aug 11W
SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 12L
KOvs Jordan Mein · Mar 13L
vs Trevor Smith · Jul 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe DoerksenMetricDan Miller
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.36evenly matched on net striking-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe DoerksenDan Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Doerksen(3 fights)Dan Miller(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.1|Blue +4.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe DoerksenTargetDan Miller
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dan Miller edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:20Control
Round 2Dan Miller edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control1:18
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:53Control
Round 3Dan Miller edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
