Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jorge RiveraL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Nate Quarry · Mar 10L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Feb 11L
DECvs Costas Philippou · Aug 11 Eric SchaferL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Aaron Simpson · Oct 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jorge RiveraMetricEric Schafer
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.52Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap-1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jorge RiveraEric Schafer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jorge Rivera(4 fights)Eric Schafer(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.9|Blue -138.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jorge RiveraTargetEric Schafer
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Eric Schafer edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:16
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:12Control
Round 2Jorge Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:42
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
