Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyron Woodley enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tyron Woodley is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Gilbert Burns has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Tyron Woodley has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyron WoodleyL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18L
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 19L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21 Gilbert BurnsL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25L
KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyron WoodleyMetricGilbert Burns
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tyron WoodleyGilbert Burns
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyron Woodley(10 fights)Gilbert Burns(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -67.9|Blue +67.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +378.0|Blue -378.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tyron WoodleyTargetGilbert Burns
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gilbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:02
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:26Control
Round 2Gilbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:33
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:09Control
Round 3Gilbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Gilbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:09
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:55Control
Round 5Gilbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:03
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
