Featherweight

3 Rounds

Danny Silva won · S-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1527

Josh CulibaovsDanny SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Saturday, March 16, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Danny Silva won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJosh Culibao: Well-roundedvsDanny Silva: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Danny Silva wins(78.0%)

Actual result: Danny Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Danny Silva (52.9%).
Josh Culibao has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Josh Culibao

Red Corner

Danny Silva

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1491

Elo

1527

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'10"

Height

5'7"

185.42 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josh CulibaoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · May 21

vs SeungWoo Choi · Jun 22

SUBvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Feb 23

vs Lerone Murphy · Jul 23

vs Ricardo Ramos · Aug 24

latest

Danny Silva

oldest →

vs Lucas Almeida · Mar 25

vs Kevin Vallejos · Aug 25

KOvs Kurtis Campbell · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josh CulibaoMetricDanny Silva

3.41

Strikes / min

6.35

3.04

Strikes absorbed / min

7.10

59%

Strike defense

61%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.06

65%

Takedown defense

75%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.37Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap-0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josh CulibaoDanny Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josh Culibao(6 fights)Danny Silva(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -35.7|Blue +35.7

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josh CulibaoTargetDanny Silva

By target zone

35% acc · 68%

Head

34% acc · 62%

77% acc · 23%

Body

61% acc · 24%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

86% acc · 13%

By position

43% acc · 99%

Distance

42% acc · 98%

33% acc · 1%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josh Culibao rounds

even

Danny Silva rounds

Round 1Josh Culibao edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:25Control

Round 2Josh Culibao edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:03

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:59Control

Round 3Danny Silva edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:04Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

87 / 202

Sig Strikes

45 / 107

43.3%

Sig Str %

40.3%

89 / 205

Total Strikes

56 / 119

0 / 4

TDs

4 / 9

TD %

44.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

5:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Danny Silva	11 / 28	12 / 29	1 / 2	1
1	Josh Culibao	32 / 80	32 / 80	0 / 1	0
2	Danny Silva	11 / 30	13 / 32	2 / 4	0
2	Josh Culibao	27 / 55	28 / 57	0 / 2	0
3	Danny Silva	23 / 49	31 / 58	1 / 3	0
3	Josh Culibao	28 / 67	29 / 68	0 / 1	0

Josh Culibao

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Danny Silva

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4