Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lavar Johnson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Stefan Struve has lost 70% of fights by KO.
- Stefan Struve threatens submissions; Lavar Johnson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stefan StruveL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18W
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20 Lavar Johnson
oldest →W
KOvs Joey Beltran · Jan 12L
vs Brendan Schaub · Feb 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stefan StruveMetricLavar Johnson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92Δ 3.77 — meaningful gap+2.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Stefan StruveLavar Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stefan Struve(10 fights)Lavar Johnson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +38.6|Blue -38.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +80.0|Blue -80.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Stefan StruveTargetLavar Johnson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lavar Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
