Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Devonte Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Devonte Smith is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Julian Erosa has lost 78% of fights by KO.
- Devonte Smith has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Julian Erosa (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Devonte SmithL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Feb 19L
KOvs Khama Worthy · Aug 19L
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Oct 21L
vs Ludovit Klein · Mar 22 Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Apr 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Devonte SmithMetricJulian Erosa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.64evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Devonte SmithJulian Erosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Devonte Smith(5 fights)Julian Erosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -75.8|Blue +75.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +48.0|Blue -48.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Devonte SmithTargetJulian Erosa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Devonte Smith edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
