Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zak Cummings has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zak Cummings (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yan CabralL2 streak
oldest →W
vs David Mitchell · Oct 13W
SUBvs Naoyuki Kotani · Oct 14L
KOvs Reza Madadi · May 16 Zak CummingsW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Trevor Smith · Dec 18W
SUBvs Trevin Giles · May 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Sep 19W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yan CabralMetricZak Cummings
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yan CabralZak Cummings
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yan Cabral(5 fights)Zak Cummings(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -142.4|Blue +142.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yan CabralTargetZak Cummings
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yan Cabral edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:47
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:18Control
Round 2Zak Cummings edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:19
14Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:04Control
Round 3Zak Cummings edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control1:02
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
