Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Melvin Guillard is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Waylon Lowe has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Melvin Guillard has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Waylon Lowe has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Waylon Lowe (53.5%).
- Melvin Guillard has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melvin Guillard
oldest →W
vs Fabricio Camoes · Jul 12L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 12L
vs Jamie Varner · Dec 12W
KOvs Mac Danzig · Jul 13L
vs Michael Johnson · Mar 14 Waylon Lowe
oldest →W
vs Willamy Freire · Jan 11L
SUBvs Nik Lentz · Mar 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melvin GuillardMetricWaylon Lowe
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.11Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Melvin GuillardWaylon Lowe
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melvin Guillard(10 fights)Waylon Lowe(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Melvin GuillardTargetWaylon Lowe
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Melvin Guillard edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:27Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
