Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Pague enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Pague threatens submissions; Yves Jabouin has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Yves Jabouin has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Yves Jabouin has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Dustin Pague has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yves JabouinL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Brad Pickett · Sep 12L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jan 14L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Apr 15L
SUBvs Felipe Arantes · Aug 15 Dustin PagueL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs John Albert · Dec 11W
SUBvs Jared Papazian · Jun 12L
KOvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Oct 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yves JabouinMetricDustin Pague
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.13Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yves JabouinDustin Pague
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yves Jabouin(10 fights)Dustin Pague(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yves JabouinTargetDustin Pague
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yves Jabouin edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control3:07
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 2Dustin Pague edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control1:39
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:00Control
Round 3Yves Jabouin edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:21
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
