Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Igor Pokrajac enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jan Blachowicz has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jan Blachowicz has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jan Blachowicz has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Igor PokrajacL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Fabio Maldonado · May 12L
SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12L
KOvs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14 Jan Blachowicz
oldest →W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Aug 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Igor PokrajacMetricJan Blachowicz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.01Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap+0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Igor PokrajacJan Blachowicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -111.7|Blue +111.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +259.0|Blue -259.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Igor PokrajacTargetJan Blachowicz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jan Blachowicz edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control2:33
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:09Control
Round 2Jan Blachowicz edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:45
53Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:20Control
Round 3Jan Blachowicz edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:57Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
