Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raphael Assuncao has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael Assuncao
oldest →L
SUBvs Marlon Moraes · Feb 19L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21W
vs Victor Henry · Oct 22 Davey Grant
oldest →L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23W
vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25W
DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricDavey Grant
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72evenly matched on net striking+1.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raphael AssuncaoDavey Grant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Davey Grant(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -25.0|Blue +25.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raphael AssuncaoTargetDavey Grant
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:46
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns2
Control1:38
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Davey Grant edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control0:53
Knockdowns0
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
1Knockdowns
