Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Steven Siler enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Steven Siler has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Steven SilerL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Darren Elkins · Nov 12W
KOvs Mike Brown · Aug 13L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Nov 13L
KOvs Rony Jason · Mar 14 Kurt HolobaughL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Austin Hubbard · Aug 23W
vs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Jul 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Steven SilerMetricKurt Holobaugh
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.25evenly matched on net striking+0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Steven SilerKurt Holobaugh
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Steven Siler(9 fights)Kurt Holobaugh(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -136.6|Blue +136.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -46.8|Blue +46.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Steven SilerTargetKurt Holobaugh
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Steven Siler edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control3:16
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 2Kurt Holobaugh edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:38
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:14Control
Round 3Steven Siler edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control2:53
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
