Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stephen Thompson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chris Clements has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stephen Thompson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stephen Thompson has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stephen Thompson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Clements
oldest →W
vs Keith Wisniewski · Apr 12W
KOvs Vik Grujic · Nov 14L
vs Nordine Taleb · Apr 15 Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris ClementsMetricStephen Thompson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.83evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris ClementsStephen Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Clements(4 fights)Stephen Thompson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.9|Blue -7.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +399.0|Blue -399.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris ClementsTargetStephen Thompson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Stephen Thompson edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:12
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:58Control
Round 2Stephen Thompson edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
