Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Matthews enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Neil Magny has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake MatthewsW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Michael Morales · Nov 23W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25W
DECvs Carlston Harris · May 26 Neil Magny
oldest →W
KOvs Mike Malott · Jan 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricNeil Magny
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72evenly matched on net striking+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake MatthewsNeil Magny
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +17.0|Blue -17.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake MatthewsTargetNeil Magny
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:22
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:08Control
Round 2Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control3:53
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:28
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:38Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
