Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Will Brooks has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Will Brooks has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21 Will BrooksL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Oct 16L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Apr 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nik LentzMetricWill Brooks
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.19Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap+1.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nik LentzWill Brooks
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nik Lentz(10 fights)Will Brooks(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +32.2|Blue -32.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nik LentzTargetWill Brooks
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Will Brooks edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:46
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:33Control
Round 2Will Brooks edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
