Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
MarQuel Mederos
oldest →W
vs Landon Quinones · Feb 24W
vs Mark Choinski · Jun 25D
DECvs Chris Padilla · Apr 26 Austin HubbardL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · Aug 23W
vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
MarQuel MederosMetricAustin Hubbard
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.88Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
MarQuel MederosAustin Hubbard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
MarQuel Mederos(4 fights)Austin Hubbard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.1|Blue -48.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +245.0|Blue -245.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
MarQuel MederosTargetAustin Hubbard
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1MarQuel Mederos edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:50Control
Round 2Austin Hubbard edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:05
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:12Control
Round 3MarQuel Mederos edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control1:28
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
