Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gabriel Benitez has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Clay Collard has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gabriel Benitez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gabriel BenitezL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Jul 21L
KOvs David Onama · Feb 22W
KOvs Charlie Ontiveros · Aug 22L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 24 Clay Collard
oldest →L
KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 14L
DECvs Tiago Trator · Sep 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gabriel BenitezMetricClay Collard
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.77Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap-0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gabriel BenitezClay Collard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gabriel Benitez(10 fights)Clay Collard(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +137.8|Blue -137.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gabriel BenitezTargetClay Collard
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Clay Collard edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:11
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:21Control
Round 2Gabriel Benitez edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:46
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:43Control
