Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Billy Quarantillo has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Spike Carlyle (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Billy QuarantilloL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Dec 22L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Apr 23W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 23L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Mar 24L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 24 Spike Carlyle
oldest →W
KOvs Aalon Cruz · Feb 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Billy QuarantilloMetricSpike Carlyle
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.61Δ 2.91 — meaningful gap-1.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Billy QuarantilloSpike Carlyle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Billy Quarantillo(10 fights)Spike Carlyle(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +101.1|Blue -101.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Billy QuarantilloTargetSpike Carlyle
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Billy Quarantillo rounds
Round 1Spike Carlyle edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:04
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:52Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:13
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:07Control
Round 3Billy Quarantillo edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control2:27
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:02Control
