Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lyoto Machida is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Vitor Belfort has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Lyoto Machida has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lyoto Machida has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor Belfort
oldest →L
KOvs Chris Weidman · May 15W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17 Lyoto Machida
oldest →W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 14L
SUBvs Luke Rockhold · Apr 15L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Jun 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor BelfortMetricLyoto Machida
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.24Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap+1.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vitor BelfortLyoto Machida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Belfort(10 fights)Lyoto Machida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +245.0|Blue -245.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vitor BelfortTargetLyoto Machida
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lyoto Machida edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Lyoto Machida edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
