Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Rothwell has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stefan Struve has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stefan Struve
oldest →L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 17L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18W
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20 Ben Rothwell
oldest →L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jul 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stefan StruveMetricBen Rothwell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Stefan StruveBen Rothwell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stefan Struve(10 fights)Ben Rothwell(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -103.5|Blue +103.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Stefan StruveTargetBen Rothwell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:03
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:12Control
Round 2Ben Rothwell edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
39Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:26Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
