Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Don'Tale Mayes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Thomas Petersen has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Thomas Petersen has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Petersen (53.5%).
- Don'Tale Mayes has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thomas Petersen
oldest →W
vs Mohammed Usman · Jul 24L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Feb 25L
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Oct 25W
DECvs Guilherme Pat · Apr 26L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 26 Don'Tale MayesL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 23L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Feb 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thomas PetersenMetricDon'Tale Mayes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.49evenly matched on net striking-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thomas PetersenDon'Tale Mayes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thomas Petersen(7 fights)Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thomas PetersenTargetDon'Tale Mayes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thomas Petersen edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns3
Control4:34
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Thomas Petersen edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control4:27
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Thomas Petersen edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns4
Control4:48
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
