Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Patrick Williams threatens submissions; Luke Sanders has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Patrick Williams has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Sanders (53.5%).
- Patrick Williams has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luke SandersL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Andre Soukhamthath · Dec 17L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 18W
KOvs Renan Barao · Feb 19L
SUBvs Nate Maness · Nov 20L
vs Felipe Colares · May 21 Patrick Williams
oldest →L
KOvs Chris Beal · Apr 14W
SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Jun 15L
KOvs Tom Duquesnoy · Apr 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luke SandersMetricPatrick Williams
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.24Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Luke SandersPatrick Williams
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luke Sanders(8 fights)Patrick Williams(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +34.9|Blue -34.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -238.0|Blue +238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Luke SandersTargetPatrick Williams
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Luke Sanders edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:42
Knockdowns1
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Patrick Williams edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:31
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 3Patrick Williams edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:05
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
