Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nicco Montano has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nicco Montano (53.5%).
- Julianna Pena has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Julianna Pena
oldest →W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25 Nicco Montano
oldest →W
vs Roxanne Modafferi · Dec 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Julianna PenaMetricNicco Montano
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.54evenly matched on net striking+1.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Julianna PenaNicco Montano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Julianna Pena(10 fights)Nicco Montano(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.6|Blue -4.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +307.0|Blue -307.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Julianna PenaTargetNicco Montano
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nicco Montano edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:07Control
Round 2Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control2:17
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:23Control
Round 3Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control2:19
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:41Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
