Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charlie Brenneman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Roberts threatens submissions; Charlie Brenneman has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Charlie Brenneman has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Roberts (53.5%).
- Daniel Roberts has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charlie BrennemanL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14L
KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14L
SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14 Daniel RobertsL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Forrest Petz · Jul 10W
SUBvs Mike Guymon · Oct 10W
SUBvs Greg Soto · Jan 11L
vs Claude Patrick · Apr 11L
vs Rich Attonito · Jun 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charlie BrennemanMetricDaniel Roberts
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.03Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap-1.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Charlie BrennemanDaniel Roberts
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)Daniel Roberts(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.5|Blue -2.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -97.0|Blue +97.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Charlie BrennemanTargetDaniel Roberts
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Charlie Brenneman rounds
Round 1Charlie Brenneman edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control4:48
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Charlie Brenneman edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control3:50
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 3Charlie Brenneman edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control4:32
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
