Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tony Sims (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abel TrujilloL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Dec 14W
vs Gleison Tibau · Nov 15W
vs Jordan Rinaldi · May 16L
SUBvs James Vick · Feb 17L
vs John Makdessi · Dec 17 Tony Sims
oldest →W
KOvs Steve Montgomery · Jun 15L
vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Aug 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abel TrujilloMetricTony Sims
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.34evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Abel TrujilloTony Sims
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abel Trujillo(10 fights)Tony Sims(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.1|Blue -7.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -76.0|Blue +76.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Abel TrujilloTargetTony Sims
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tony Sims edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:17
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
