Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Trizano has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael Trizano
oldest →L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 19W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 21L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Feb 22W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Nov 22 latest Lucas AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Jun 23L
KOvs Andre Fili · Dec 23W
vs Timmy Cuamba · Jun 24L
KOvs Michael Aswell Jr. · Oct 25 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael TrizanoMetricLucas Almeida
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.77evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michael TrizanoLucas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Trizano(7 fights)Lucas Almeida(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +16.9|Blue -16.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michael TrizanoTargetLucas Almeida
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Trizano edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control1:36
Knockdowns1
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Lucas Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:01Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Lucas Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.